5.27.2020
Day 50/100
5.26.2020
Memorial Day celebrations!
5.23.2020
Live from my phone!
Anyway, a big old advantage to using my phone is that I can throw emojis in here like it’s NBD. Check it out: 😛🙌🏻♥️💩
And the only other thing I wanna test while I phone-blog for a second is whether I can get a picture on here and format it like I usually do on the computer. Sample pic:
This concludes my test of the emergency broadcast system. Thanks for joining me.
5.22.2020
Last day of school (ever?!)
Just me, graduating |
Alone in my |
Celebrating DeAnn's retirement! She's the principal and wearing a tiara. |
Pretending to take a socially distant picture, hehe |
5.21.2020
From the draft archives: Speedy snow cones
I don't really have anything I came here to say, but I suppose I could tell you guys a story.
One time, my family and I went to get snow cones at the snow cone shack near Pizza Factory.
We didn't have Mariah or Mattea with us, and we felt bad going without them.
So we bought two more snow cones as we left and thought it would be a good idea to just hold them in the car.
BAD, BAD IDEA.
They started spilling as we pulled out of the freaking parking lot. Like we hadn't even gone anywhere yet.
So we pulled over to figure out a game plan...and came up with nothing.
(PS: I am laughing my head off while I type this and some girl is looking at me all funny because I am in a public place and this is like the funniest memory in my head, ever.)
So anyways, Jenna held one and I held one, and those things splooshed EVERYWHERE.
Every time we hit the smallest bump or took the slightest curve, they wanted to come out of the cup and into our laps.
In a desperate attempt to save her purse and pants and other stuff, Jenna stuck Mariah's snow cone out her window and just held it there.
And you wouldn't believe how entertaining it was to see that thing fly around out there.
Her spoon was, like, the first thing to go. It was gone the second we got up to 15 mph.
5.20.2020
These goons
5.19.2020
Empty classroom, full heart
5.18.2020
Master Meals List
5.17.2020
Sabbath Study
5.14.2020
Currently #2
5.13.2020
Hehe, my old intro page (circa 2013)
My name is Alyssa. What's yours?
I run this little corner of the internet.
Sometimes it's a humorous corner. Sometimes it's a picturesque corner (note: my pictures ≠ photography. Just FYI).
Lots of times it's a sarcastic corner... #sorrynotsorry
But everything I post follows my blogosophy.
I feel like blogging is (unfortunately) an inherently self-centered activity, so I'm about to talk about myself. Sorry.
You may be interested to know the following:
I enjoy brownies and fresh flowers. I do not enjoy doing laundry.
I come from a family of five daughters (think Fiddler on the Roof).
I used to play Bach, Beethoven, and Brahms every day, but my classical piano skills have slipped since I quit taking lessons after my senior year of high school. I'm working to bring them back because music is very important to me.
I am currently a math ed student Brigham Young University, and it is such a blessing in my life to attend a school so close to home with so many friendly people and so many opportunities to grow. College rocks.
My favorite color is yellow, my favorite article of clothing is a warm hoodie, and my favorite movie is What's Up, Doc?
I do puzzles in my free time.
I love math and infinite things.
I am a member of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints. (You might know us as the Mormons.) I know that God loves us all infinitely and equally, as we are all His literal children. I'm working to develop such love toward others while striving to become like Jesus Christ. You can hear more from other LDS members at this website.
5.12.2020
COVID Homework #3 (last one)
This is your final assignment of the school year. Yaaaaaayyyyyyy! Today I'll have you look at just a couple more COVID graphs, and then you have a hopefully easy homework assignment.
We've looked at the Utah graph of COVID cases for the last two days. On Tuesday (May 5), Scott posted a new graph with a new trend line. Check it out:
Scott fondly refers to this one as the "McDonald's Curve" because of that double peak shape. He first posted it as somewhat of a joke because no other COVID case graphs seem to match this, but the numbers have indeed followed that second (yellow) peak throughout this week. Crazy! (Part of this may be attributed to a change in testing numbers; starting on April 14, Utah started testing way higher numbers of people each day. More people tested means more cases discovered, but the overall percentage of positive cases has actually decreased since testing ramped up.)
I show you this graph because some of you were interested to see it. Some of you also asked for the USA graph, so I'll share that one with you here:
Do you notice how after the peak of cases in the USA arrived, cases haven't really decreased as Scott predicted? Rather, they've stayed kind of high and fairly steady. He might need to revise this line as well. Do you think it will look like the double peak in Utah?
There is another country Scott has watched and graphed whose peak seemed rather stretched out like this (quite a contrast from the Italy graph we looked at last time). That country is Sweden. Sweden from the beginning of COVID chose not to close down their schools, stores, and economy. Instead, they decided to work toward building "herd immunity" in their population by allowing most people to be out and about with caution. It's been a somewhat polarizing news story over time.
Sweden and Norway are neighboring countries who have handled COVID differently: Norway shut down and Sweden did not. You can see that difference in the general shapes of their two graphs (no smooth curve for you here, but hopefully you can tell what it might look like). It seems after this week like Sweden's cases have maybe finally started to decrease. Their death rate has been somewhat high (particularly among older adults), but their hospitals have not been overwhelmed and life has mostly continued as normal during these last two months of crazy in the rest of the world.
What I find interesting is that the USA and Utah graphs are starting to look more like Sweden's graph than Norway's and Italy's graphs. What does this mean?? It doesn't make sense given that both places have had higher levels of "locked down" than Sweden ever did. But I know that Utah's hospitals have been far from overwhelmed and our death rate is abnormally low (I'm not sure about the USA metrics on those two questions). It makes me wonder: have Utahns all secretly been getting together just enough to replicate the herd immunity model of Sweden while still staying apart just enough to keep the curve from overwhelming the system?
I'm curious what questions this raises for you and what you think might be the answers to those questions. For your final assignment:
1) Ask a couple questions about what you've read here and then take a stab at answering them! No right or wrong questions or answers here. I'm truly baffled by the graphs I'm seeing lately, and I'd love to hear what you think.
2) Unrelated to this COVID math project: Find some way to memorialize these strange months where the world shut down. It can be something you've already started working on, or you can totally double up if you have a similar project in a different class. To earn the points for this part of the assignment, tell me about what you did or what your plan is and then GO DO IT! :)
Your math notes and test scores won't matter as much as this assignment will in 20 years. If you have some spare time, make it something that you'll be proud to look back on and hang on to (either in physical or digital form). History will be glad you kept some record.
You should know that I'm doing this assignment as well! I'm blogging for 100 days straight on my college blog (which I basically haven't touched since college, haha) about whatever topic seems relevant for that day. Sometimes it's COVID-related and sometimes it's a complaint about allergies or pictures of my toddler. But it's quarantine life, memorialized.
Ideas if you need them: Backwrite a few journal entries from days where the news was important. Create a Google doc of news "clippings" as things open back up by copying and pasting. Take a selfie for each week of quarantine and compile them in one place. Write a story or a song or a series of haiku poetry about what it feels like to be stuck at home. Video the empty streets and stores (or busy streets and stores as they open up) with some commentary behind the camera to explain what's unique about this time. Or come up with your own project! Anything goes.
5.11.2020
Where do we go from here?
5.10.2020
Mother's Day Study
"Her Eye is on the Sparrow" by Heather Kay |
"In Her Image" by Amber Eldredge |
5.09.2020
COVID Homework #2
Hi, just reminding you that I'm a teacher who nerds out about data and therefore made assignments about COVID for my students. I like these assignments enough to share them and remember them so here you go.
Welcome to day two (of three) regarding COVID data. Today I have some background info for you and some questions (yours and mine) that I'd like you to try and answer.
I shared Scott Bond's Utah graph from April 28 last time. I'd like you to understand a bit about his data collection and graph before we continue, so I'll use his graph of the COVID numbers from Italy to describe.
Scott always graphs three lines. The first line is the raw data, AKA the actual number of new cases each day. For the Italy (and Utah) graph, that is represented by the grey and most jagged line.
Now, Scott noticed that the numbers from day to day sometimes vary greatly and for unrelated reasons to COVID spread (for example, Utah's testing always slows on Saturday and Sunday, which means the Monday numbers tend to be higher). So he averages the last five days of data and plots those points as a new line. This smooths out the data a bit, and on the Italy graph you can see it as the light green line (light purple on Utah's graph). This line is still bumpy, but it gives a better snapshot of whether case numbers are increasing or decreasing over time.
Finally, based on that 5-day average line, Scott writes an equation for a bell-shaped line that will best fit the data. He just keeps guessing and checking until he finds one that fits nicely, and then as the data changes over time, he adjusts the final graph. Check out this graph from April 20 where Scott realized the right side of the curve should be less steep than the left side of the curve for Italy:
Do you see how the jagged lines started to be too far away from Scott's smooth green curve? When he could tell this was happening (it takes a few days of data to know there is a deviating pattern), he wrote a new equation (the red line) that would better fit. The red line in this graph is the green line you saw in the first graph...and the data since April 20 has stayed much closer to this new smooth line!
Okay, so now let's go back to the Utah graph which I shared with you last time:
Your assignment today is to practice reading this graph. Respond to these questions and recognize that there may not be a particular right answer to each of them. Use the graph to help you!
1) Overall, how well do you think Scott's purple line fits the COVID numbers for Utah? Explain.
2) If you were Scott, would you review and/or rewrite your equation for the smooth purple line? Why or why not?
3) Describe the story this graph tells about COVID-19 in Utah. (Use the raw data and/or the 5-day average if you disagreed earlier with Scott's smooth purple line.)
4) Based on the graph, what do you predict happened with Utah's data between April 28 (the end of this graph) and May 7 (today)? (You are welcome to look up this data on Scott's FB profile if it interests you. We will also see that data next time.) What do you predict will happen after today?
5) What are the advantages and disadvantages of having a mathematical model that predicts future COVID numbers? Name and explain a couple.
Optional 6) What new questions do you have about the graph?
5.08.2020
Personalities
5.07.2020
Snotty day
5.06.2020
COVID Homework #1
Have you watched the news surrounding COVID-19 as case numbers and hospitalizations have grown and shrunk from day to day? Maybe you've heard the phrase "flattening the curve" and wondered just how flat (or not) that curve has gotten while you've been waiting at home to hang out with your friends.
For me, the data has been a very interesting part of the COVID pandemic. Utah's numbers lately have been perplexing, and I want to hear what you think of them.
Here is a graph created by my personal favorite data source during COVID. Friend of a friend Scott Bond has reported each day on Facebook about the Utah situation and numbers, writing a brief analysis and occasionally sharing graphs of the data he's using. Take a minute and look at his latest Utah graph; consider the axes, the colors of the lines, the key at the top, and anything else you think will help you to read the graph:
The first part of this COVID assignment is to ask 3-5 questions about what you see here. There are no right or wrong questions! Consider what about the graph makes the most or least sense to you, how Scott collects and presents his data, or what the trend lines show. What do you notice? What do you wonder? We'll have a chance to answer some of these next time; try to be sincere and thoughtful.
I got some good responses to this assignment, and I'll share the next assignment in the series soonish. If anyone reading does have legit questions about this graph, I'm happy to answer them when I post that next assignment! Holler in the comments.
5.05.2020
2020 goal check
5.04.2020
Ugh, work
5.03.2020
Happy holidays
(As a side note, I'm not sure after looking at recent numbers that Utah's current recommendations are sound? But I know that public health/economy balance is tough. Might have thoughts on this later in the week.)
I took just one very mediocre picture (ugh), but I think that's cuz I was just sucked into the familial magic of it all. More than anything else about quarantine, I have missed in-person family interactions. My closest friendships are with my sisters. I still follow my mom around the house and talk her ear off when I'm visiting. And my love for Joe's family has grown so much over the years. I felt the same anxious need to see them all today as well.
We plan on future Sundays to alternate seeing our two sides of the family, but today, due to the timing of people in and out of town, we ended up visiting both sides. Coming from the dearth of social interaction that is quarantine, it felt like the freaking holidays. We drove home after an afternoon spent out and about both exhilarated and exhausted, filled to the brim and maybe a little overwhelmed. I will certainly need to readjust to leaving the house. (How strange!)
I read a very interesting article a few months ago that had me questioning the strength of the nuclear family as we tend to imagine it (Mom + Dad + kids living together but separate from all other sets of Mom + Dad + kids). I'm thinking about it (again) tonight as I realize how much strength I felt today from the interactions with a wider family sphere. Joseph and Brooks and I make a pretty good team, and we have had happy quarantine times together on the whole. But to heck with that if we can just have our whole happy family back together again. There is strength in numbers, particularly for families. And if you don't believe me (why wouldn't you?), go check out that article. For real.
So happy holidays to us and to anyone else reuniting with family soon! Hopefully the viral spread as we rejoin will remain contained. I don't know if I can trust myself to recommit to avoiding family for another two months.....
5.02.2020
I can't stop thinking about this photo
5.01.2020
1/4 of the way
A quarter of the way through something is a good time to evaluate whether it's worth continuing. At 1/4 of the way, you're not usually SO committed and SO invested that you can't decide to drop it and walk away. In fact, if you're ever going to drop it and walk away, there's a good argument to be made for doing so at merely 1/4 of the way through.
So today I'm evaluating whether it's worth continuing my project. Short answer: yeah.
Long answer: I don't really want to blog every single day for my life, but the push to come up with another idea, another idea, another idea, another idea is good practice if I want to continue blogging semi-regularly after this ends. Every day for the rest of my life would be tedious and eventually editorial for me. But every few days would be healthy and happy for me. At least, that's how it seems, today, at 1/4 of the way through.
For now, I'll continue. And I'll probably be glad I did.